Monday, September 29, 2008

Unlikely Heroes in October

It was Mark Bellhorn & Derek Lowe in 2004. It was Ellsbury, Pedroia & Youkilis in 2007. Who will emerge as this year's heroes during the 2008 playoffs? I have a few thoughts on this topic.

On the pitching side I look for Javy Lopez & Justin Masterson to get some key outs. Lopez may see lefty match-ups against Shone Figgins, Garrett Anderson & Mark Texeria. Masterson will need to neutralize righties Vlad Guerrero & Tori Hunter.

On the defensive side I look for subs Sean Casey & Mark Kotsay to play a key role at 1B & to contribute with RISP on offense. Jeff Bailey is another guy that is capable of a big pinch-hit at crucial points in games.

These are my 5 guys that I expect to contribute more than anticipated.

Lester in Game 1

If you needed a Plan B to starting Josh Beckett in Game 1 of the playoffs, it's nice to have Jon Lester. Many felt that Lester was the Sox #1 starter all season & now he gets a chance to prove it.

The Sox have had success in the past against Lackey, just not this year. Look for the playoff run in 2007 to pay-off in 2008 for players like Youk, Pedroia & Ellsbury who all had big offensive numbers in the post-season last year. Experience is the 26th player on your bench.

I'm predicting the Sox in 4.

Sunday, September 28, 2008

Lowell, Drew Question Marks

The Red Sox will be in LA-LA-land on Tuesday to start their defense of last year's World Series crown. Will Mike Lowell & J.D. Drew be part of the roster?

If most fans had to pick one, Mike Lowell is the logical choice. Lowell has shown that he is willing to play through his injuries. If, however, Mike becomes a liability in the field or he can't run hard on the bases, then his usefullness to the team becomes compromised. LA is a team that bunts a lot also.

Sean Casey is the logical choice to start at 1B & Youk moves over to 3B. That gives the Sox another decent bat in the lineup. Later in the game, Cora can go into SS for defensive purposes, moving Youk back to 1B & Lowrie over to 3B. That plan has seemed to work most of the year.

If Cora comes up in an offensive situation with runners on base, you have the option of using Bailey or Carter as a PH & then enter Kotsay at 1B, moving Youk & Lowrie back to their original positions.

Tito will need to use his whole roster to beat an Angels team that has power & speed. I think the pitching edge goes to Boston, but low-scoring affairs will abound. It will depend on which offense gets hot first or who delivers on the few occasions with RISP.

History shows that the Red Sox have a knack for stepping it up in the playoffs, especially against the LA Angels of Anaheim.

Friday, September 26, 2008

Johnny Pesky Night

Johnny Pesky was sitting in the lobby of our team hotel in Fort Myers during Spring Training a few years ago. I was coaching a college softball team playing in a tournament over Spring Break. Even at 7:00 AM, he was very gratious with his time & most accomodating for pictures. Like every day, Johnny was getting ready to go to City of Palms Park for the daily Sox workout.

We had a break in our schedule that allowed the girls to attend one such workout. After they got a few autographs from players at the end of practice, I could see Johnny sitting on the bleachers & holding court for many Red Sox fans. I overheard him talking about Ted Williams & others from his era. The seniors in the crowd really enjoyed his insights into those days.

It was great to see a legend like Johnny Pesky give of his time so freely to others, strangers really. I'm glad that his number will be retired along side of his good friend, Ted Williams. Johnny has been a great ambassador for the Red Sox for his entire lifetime. Congrats, John!

Yankees - Red Sox One Last Time

It's been 5 years since the Yankees beat the Red Sox in Game 7 of the ALCS in 2003. The Red Sox have won 2 World Series rings since then & the Yankees have won nothing. 2008 is a low water mark by Yankees standards. The Bronx crew is out of the playoffs for the first time in 13 years.

The Yankees have gotten much older. The days of bringing in high-priced free agents to buy a ring are over. Home grown talent has been the winning ingredient for the past few years. 30+ players like Mussina, Pettite, Posada, A-Rod, Jeter, Giambi, Damon, Abreau & Rivera are showing their age. All of these players have had less than average years. It's the equilavent of the Patriots defense. They know what to do, but sometimes they just can't get there in time.

The Red Sox have a continuing youth movement that is the envy of all Major League teams. Lester, Papelbon, Delcarmen, Masterson, Buchholz, Youkilis, Pedroia, Lowrie & Ellsbury are all products of the Red Sox farm system. While getting younger the Sox continue to win at the same time. Each young guy seems to fit-in perfectly. That's not an accident.

What will Hank Steinbrenner do this off-season? The Yankees young talent has not panned out, particularly in the pitching department. Hank will probably go after CC Sabathia to bolster the starting rotation. Abreau & Giambi may not be re-signed. It will be fun to watch the Yankees scuffle to field a team that can compete with Boston, Tampa Bay & Toronto next year.

Lester, Bullpen Sharp in 6-1 Win

Jon Lester earned his 16th win. Masterson, Okajima, Papelbon pitched scoreless relief. The Cleveland Indians look like they are ready to end the season.

Francona is still evaluating his bubble players while keeping the regulars sharp. Ortiz had a day off, but Youk added a few more hits, including another HR. He is closing in on 30 homers for the season to go along with his 111 RBI. Kotsay & Lowrie are finding their swings again.

The Yanks come in for the final 3 games on a rainy weekend. Who would have thought that this seies against New york would be meaningless? It has to be a humbling experience for long-time vets like Jeter, Riviera & Posada to be going home in September. The curse of A-Rod lives.

Thursday, September 25, 2008

Lester's Final Regular Season Start Tonight

Jon Lester started the 2008 year in Spring Training as the Sox #3 or #4 starter. His young career was plague with inconsistency, high pitch counts & a bout with cancer. Now 6 months & 15 wins later, Lester could be viewed as the Sox legitimate #1 starter.

Lester gets his last start & tune-up for the playoffs against the Indians tonight. I'm sure the Yankees are happy not to see him this weekend as Lester mowed down the Yankees in New York & at Fenway earlier this season.

It's great to see good things happen to a nice kid like Lester who has faced so much at such a young age. In every interview Lester sounds mature beyond his years. When you come close to losing everything, you appreciate all you have that much more.

Beauty Contest Results in 5-4 Win

Stay tuned for more of the same over the last 4 regular season games. Players like Paul Byrd, Mark Kotsay, Chris Carter & Jeff Bailey will see playing time to help Tito determine his playoff roster. All 4 played well last night with Bailey & Kotsay delivering the game-winning run.

How about the return of J.D. Drew! Most sportscasters think he has dogged it with his back injury, especially Michael Felger on CSN. On "Red Sox This Week" I heard Dan Roach say that, despite Drew's emotionless state when compared to other players, he does want to get back on the field badly. So who knows? He ran the bases, played the outfield & seemed OK. It will be interesting to see how his back is doing today.

Mike Lowell may make an appearance in the Yankees series, just to get a couple of at-bats. My brother mentioned to me that one bunt or soft hit ground ball may pull his hip out of joint again. I guess you wait & see how that whole situation plays out.

If Drew & Lowell make it back for the playoffs, you have a solid offensive lineup from batters #1 through #7. If Lowrie & Varitek do anything in the #8 & #9 spots, it's gravy. The Sox are much better with these 2 on the field.

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Roster Spots in Playoffs Up for Grabs

What's the significance of the last 5 games? For several players it will mean the difference of receiving a playoff check or not.

Who's on the bubble? I think it's names like Tim Wakefield, Paul Byrd, Mike Timlin, David Aardsma, Dan Ross, Jeff Bailey, Chris Carter & Mark Kotsay. The last 5 games may be a showcase for each of these players to prove why they should make the 25-man playoff roster.

The bigger names to watch are J.D. Drew & Mike Lowell. Will either be able to play this week? If so, how much? Would Theo & Terry gamble on keeping a roster spot open for either one?

These remaining games are not about winning the division. They are about determining the playoff roster & setting up the pitching assignments for LA. Get ready, Red Sox fans, for some interesting picks or exclusions. You can't take everyone.

We Win, Yanks Out

The Red Sox clinched a playoff spot last night &, at the same time, eliminated the Yankees from playoff contention to end their streak at 13 consecutive post-season appearances. The times are a-changing...

From Spring Training to Japan & now 92 wins later, here are my top 10 reasons why the 2008 Red Sox have had an improbable road to the playoffs.

10) No Curt Schilling all year. If the Sox management had let Schilling get his surgery during Spring Training, he might be available now for the playoffs. Bad choice.

9) Julio Lugo going on the DL was a blessing in disguise. With Lugo at short the Sox were one of the worst fielding teams in the AL. Without him they are now #1 in defense.

8) Coco Crisp was rumored to be on the trading block all Spring. Look how valuable Coco has become with the injury to J.D. Drew.

7) Jed Lowrie, another rookie from the farm system, gets his shot & makes the most of it. Excellent defense at SS, 3B or 2B. 44 RBI in 3 months of work. Even in his current slump, Lowrie's defense has remained steady.

6) The farm also produced Justin Masterson's & his 2008 debut to the big team. Justin was a more-than-adequate fill-in starter during the 1st half & has now morphed into a go-to late innings reliever over the 2nd half. He wasn't on the radar in the Spring.

5) Jacoby Ellsbury saw the highs & lows of his first full 162 game season. Stealing bases at a record clip in the 1st half, Jacoby is now adjusting to the adjustments other teams are making to him. He catches anything near him in the outfield. Now his offense is coming back around as well.

4) David Ortiz & his wrist caused him to miss about 1/3 of the season. Who would have thought that J.D. Drew would keep the team afloat in his absence? Since Big Papi's return it is as if Drew & Ortiz have changed places. Drew is unlikely to see any further action in 2008 due to his back problem. Meantime, Big Papi is producing again out of the 3-hole.

3) Kudos to Theo & Company for getting rid of Manny & bringing in quality baseball players to the team in return. Jason Bay, Paul Byrd & Mark Kotsay have all contributed to big wins in the 2nd half.

2) Kevin Youkilis has emerged as a power hitter at the right time. Who would have thought that Youk would be the HR leader on the team this year with guys like Manny, Ortiz & Lowell in the lineup? His versatility in the field & versatility in the batting order make him a huge staple in the Red Sox lineup.

1) The emergence of Dustin Pedroia & Jon Lester top my list of Sox stories in 2008. Pedroia went from good & solid to great & solid. Lester went from an OK middle rotation starter to a #1 starter. Pedroia threw in 200+ hits & Lester pitched a no-hitter for good measure.

It's been a great ride from March through September for Red Sox fans. It has been an improbable path to the playoffs. The rest of the season is gravy.

Tuesday, September 23, 2008

No Cigar Yet As Sox Lose 4-3

Hold the celebration just yet. The Sox fell short against the Indians 4-3 at Fenway last night. The magic number remains at 1.

There were some bright spots in the loss. David Ortiz continued his recent power surge with another home run. Kevin Youkilis contributed 3 hits. Masterson & Okajima pitched well in relief.

Varitek, Kotsay & Lowrie continued to slump. After the first 5 batters it was a very weak hitting 6-7-8-9 part of the order. Getting Lowell &/or Drew back for the playoffs would help the offense immensely.

The Nation waits to see if tonight is the night.

Monday, September 22, 2008

Sox Inch Closer to Playoffs

This weekend went better than I expected. 2 out of 3 wins in Toronto against a tough pitching staff is a great effort on the road.

Dice-K remained masterful in yesterday's 3-0 win with several shutout innings. Perhaps the best news of the day was the re-emergence of Jacoby Ellsbury's bat with 3 extra base hits yesterday. When Ellsbury gets on base the Sox are a much better offensive team.

It would be a nice touch to see Josh Beckett pitch & win the playoff clincher at Fenway tonight against Cleveland. While the Rays have dominated the headlines most of the year it has been an unusual path, to say the least, for the Red Sox to put together another 90+ win season. More on that after they clinch.

Saturday, September 20, 2008

Sox Lose to Jays 6-3

Red Sox Nation will have to wait another day to clinch a playoff spot with a loss to Toronto today.

I have to say that I didn't see the game. In fact, I will be traveling tomorrow, so I'll have to listen to the game on the radio. I actually like the radio pre-game show more than NESN's pre-game which tends to get repetitious.

In between innings, I'll have to make a quick check on the Patriots-Dolphins as well. It's been a great 21st century so far to be a sports fan in New England.

Let's hope Dice-K can pitch 5-6 strong & we win the series. Wrapping up a playoff spot would be huge with a week to go.

Playoff Roster Mania

If the season ended today, the Boston 9 would play the LA Angels in round one of the ALDS. The Rays would take on the White Sox.

If I were Tito & Theo, here's my picks for the 25 man roster.

Starting Pitchers: 4
Josh Beckett, Jon Lester, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Tim Wakefield

Bullpen: 7
Paul Byrd, David Pauley, Javy Lopez, Hideki Okajima, Justin Masterson, Manny Delcarmen, Jon Papelbon

Catchers: 2
Jason Varitek, Kevin Cash

Infielders: 6
Kevin Youkilis, Dustin Pedroia, Jed Lowrie, Sean Casey, Alex Cora, Mike Lowell

DH: 2
David Ortiz, Jeff Bailey

Outfielders: 4
Jason Bay, Coco Crisp, Jacoby Ellsbury, Mark Kotsay

Left off the roster would be notables such as J.D. Drew, Mike Timlin & Bartolo Colon. In a short series like the best of 5, you need as much versatility as possible. I think the pitching staff & roll players are key. We'll see how close my picks come when the playoff roster is announced.

Lester & Dice-K Can Seal A Playoff Birth

Wouldn't it be nice to sweep the Jays in Toronto & earn a playoff birth without counting on losses by Minnesota? We have the right starting pitching to do so.

Lester has put together a breakout year. No longer a 3-4-5 starter, Jon Lester has turned into one of the best lefties in the AL. He will be matched against Roy Halladay again which will be a good test for him. Lester knows the game will be low scoring, so he needs to be at his best.

Dice-K is our super starter for 5 innings. You can expect a high pitch count which drives everyone crazy. But at the same time, you can expect to start the 6th innings with 0 or 1 run on the board for the Jays. The Dice-man gets it done with lots of help from the pen. I hope he picks up the dinner tab for the relievers on a regular basis.

Ending the playoff dilemma this weekend will give the Sox a free week to rest guys & lineup their starters for the post-season.

Thursday, September 18, 2008

Big Comeback for Sox in Toronto

It was a seesaw battle. 2-0, the 2-1 for the Jays. 3-2 Sox, then 3-3. Finally a 4-3 win on a fielder's choice.

How many fans were screaming at their TV when Byrd gave up the tying run at 3-3 after the Sox finally took the lead 3-2? It was one of those back & forth nights. But beating A.J. Burnett is no easy feat, so we'll take the win. As has been his M.O. recently, Papelbon didn't pitch a clean 9th, but got 3 outs before the Jays scored the tying run.

My game balls for last night go to Paul Byrd & Sean Casey. Byrd made it through 6 innings & only gave up 3 runs. He is usually good for giving up 4 runs. Sean Casey got the huge double off the RF wall & drove in 2 RBI to give the Sox the lead 3-2. Casey is proving to be a valuable fill-in for Lowell just as he was earlier in the year.

Magic number is down to 2.

Did Maddon Outcoach Francona?

The Sox have lost the last 2 series against the Rays. I believe that part of the reason is the use of situational players & pitching changes at key points in the last 6 games by Joe Maddon. Conversely, other than last night, I didn't see the same pholosophy by Terry Francona.

First example. Rays pinch hit a right-handed hitter to bat against Lopez. Francona counters with a right-handed reliever. Maddon switches again to a left-handed pinch hitter who I believe got a hit in the series at Fenway.

Second example. Garza is winning 8-3 last night in the 4th inning with 2 outs & needs just 1 more out to qualify for a win. Next hitter was Big Papi who had hit 2 homers off Garza & there were 2 on base. Maddon takes out Garza & comes in with Balfour who usually pitches in the 7th or 8th. Ortiz flies to deep center for the 3rd out. Game over.

On Tuesday night Francona had the option of using Oki to face Navarro. This move would turn Navarro around to hit right-handed which is his weaker side. Instead, he left Masterson in. I believe it was due to the fact that he didn't trust Okajima with the bases loaded not to walk the winning run home. In my book you can't manage scared.

I hope the players & coaches have learned through the last 2 series what not to do against the Rays should they see them again in the playoffs. You always learn more for your losses than your wins.

No Pitching Equals No Win

Tim Wakefield gave up 3 home runs. Devern Hansack gave up a couple of runs. Javy Lopez looked like a poor version of "Dancing With the Stars" on a weak ground ball which led to a run. All this happened in the 1st 3 innings, taking the Sox out of the game early.

David Ortiz continued to pound the ball with 2 HR's. He accounted for all 3 RBI in a lineup with no Mike Lowell & no Jason Bay. J.D. Drew has been on the shelf so long that he will probably miss the playoffs at this point. Bay will be back for the series in Toronto.

It doesn't get any easier as the Sox face A.J. Burnett & Roy Halladay in the first two. Minnesota is playing poorly & continues at 7 games back in the Wild Card. The last road trip of the year ends in Toronto. I'd like to see us win 2 out of 3, but 1 out of 3 is more probable.

Enjoy the day off today, fans, as it will be an interesting weekend in Toronto.

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Wake's the Man Tonight

Tim Wakefield has an excellent record when pitching at Tropicana Field. But this year's edition of the Rays is not like past years.

If the Sox can get 5 or 6 strong innings from Wakefield, the bullpen is fully rested & ready to go. Maybe the bigger question is whether Matt Garza can pitch effectively, working on only 3 days rest.

Last night is behind us now. We can still come out of Tampa Bay tied for the AL East lead. Taking 2 out of 3 would be a great accomplishment & send a message that we can win on the road.

Tuesday, September 16, 2008

Rays Eke Out 2-1 Win

I appreciate a well pitched, low scoring game like tonight. Even though we came out with 1 less run, here's what I liked about the Red Sox in game 2.

1) Mike Lowell is a profile in courage to the rest of the team. When someone plays hurt, visibly hurt, that player picks up everyone else's play. Using effort as the measuring stick, Mike Lowell gets an "A+" in my book.

2) Josh Beckett is once again the ace of the staff. His first 2 outings back from the DL have been sensational. Play this type of game again in any of Beckett's future starts & he goes back out there in the 9th. He has his bulldog attitude back.

3) Congrats to Jason Bay on his new daughter. Maybe we have a different outcome tonight if his bat is in the line-up.

4) Jacoby Ellsbury's speed is a game-changer as evidenced by his 2 infield hits. He also indirectly caused an error by Longoria at 3B when Longoria bobbled a Pedroia grounder because Ellsbury was running at 1B.

5) Big Papi just missed launching a home run for the 2nd straight night. Ortiz is getting his swing back at the right time.

I see a lot of positives going forward. Let see if Wake can get us even again on Wednesday before we leave Tampa Bay. Wake has a history of pitching well there.

Big Papi Starts Power Surge

My brother came in the house & said who hit home runs for the Red Sox. I said it's easier to tell you who didn't! 6 home runs led the way to an easy victory against the Rays & put the Sox in a statistical tie for the AL East lead.

The first inning 3-run homer by David Ortiz was the biggest hit of the night for me. It showed the Rays that the Red Sox could capitalize on mistakes by Kazmir & not let him wiggle off the hook. It also showed to Big Papi himself that, despite his injured wrist, his power stroke is still there. The rest of the runs were gravy.

Tampa Bay is one of the worst venues to see a ballgame. Jason Bay's catwalk HR is one example why. Like the Metrodome in Minnesota, a park that allows fair balls to strike objects during a game has problems. At least everything worked to the Red Sox favor last night.

One more win & we can leave Tampa Bay no worse than with a share of the AL East lead. Look for Beckett to have a big game tonight.

Monday, September 15, 2008

Dice-K's Turn to Shine

Not that every start in a pennant race isn't important, but the Dice-man has a chance to start the big series against the Rays with a win. He is matched up against Scott Kazmir who, like Daisuke, has trouble going deep into games.

The Rays batters are pretty patient as are the Sox. Like their last head-to-head battle, fans can expect a low-scoring affair that will come down to each team's bullpen. Take away Timlin & Papelbon lately & the Sox pen has been excellent.

Fasten your seat belt for 3 playoff-type games to start the week. I say the Sox win the 1st 2 & game 3 is a toss-up.

Sunday, September 14, 2008

Enough With Jed Clampett

If you watch Channel 7 Boston sports, you'll see a new sports reporter -- Larry Ridley. Larry is driving me crazy with his colloquialisms. The most irritating one for me is his constant referral to the Beverly Hillbillies song ' there once was a man named Jed" when talking about Jed Lowrie.

It's as if Chris Berman from ESPN was reincarnated with his nicknames for all of the football players in the NFL on his 2 minute summary of games. Can we just get a normal summary without all the ad lib??

I like Steve Burton & Dan Roche from Channel 4 WBZ. I watch Mike Lynch & Mike Downing on Channel 5 for the Patriots weekly show. Joe Amorosino on Channel 7 is OK to me as well.

I think Larry is trying too hard to be too original or too unique, however you desctribe it. Simple is better for me, Larry.

Red Sox Take 3 Out Of 4

Red Sox win. Patriots win. It's a good Sunday in New England.

Great, great starting pitching by Jon Lester again led the way in this win. Jon Papelbon could use a few days off as every pitch was up in the zone as he was touched up for 2 runs today. If not for a bad out call at 2B on Lyle Overbay, we may be talking about a loss. Don't be surprised to see Masterson get the call to close, if needed, on Monday.

1 game back, 2 in the loss column as the Sox get ready for 3 in Tampa Bay. I would expect 3 more low scoring games that could go either way. Our starters line up well with Matsuzaka, Beckett & Wakefield going to the hill. 2 wins would put the Sox in a statistical tie for 1st place. The Rays have 15 games left while the Sox are down to 13.

It's a great finish to the regular season. Don't be surprised to see more Sox fans than Rays fans in Tampa Bay. I say the Sox take 2 out of 3.

Great Comeback and Great Family Night

It took a swinging bunt by Jacoby Ellsbury to push the winning run across in the bottom of the 8th. The Sox keep the wolves at bay with a 7-5 win over the Jays, assuring a split of the series. The Wild Card contenders like Toronto, Minnesota & Chicago could gain no ground as the final games of the regular season continues to tick, tick away. It's interesting that the Yankees are out of the discussion altogether at this point.

While there were many contributors to last night's win -- Ellsbury, Pedroia, Sox bullpen to name a few -- I experienced one of those nights where the Red Sox hit home on a personal level. My wife and I hosted my 3 brothers, sister, sister-in-laws, brother-in-law & a significant other for a family get-together. 12 of us in all.

We had the Sox on TV on mute while the festivities were going on, even though we all kept an eye on the score. Once our night was over, no one left as we watched the last 3 innings together as a family. We saw a great come-from-behind win. But it was an even a better night for our family to be together with the Sox.

I think this scenario happens a lot in New England homes. It's why the Red Sox Nation is so unique. They are imbedded as part of the family.

Saturday, September 13, 2008

Game 2 to the Jays

I hate it when I'm right.

I thought the Sox would win on Friday night & that it would be difficult for them to earn a split on Saturday. So far I'm right on the money as Toronto got even in Game 2 with an 8-1 drubbing of the Sox. Burnett was tough. (I'm not a fan of his big tattos on the left arm & behind the neck.)

Colon will have to come up big in the nightcap.

Who's Off the Playoff Roster?

Let's be positive & assume the Sox will make the playoffs. Tito has some very interesting decisions to make on personnel for the first series which is a short 3 out of 5.

Mike Timlin. Paul Byrd. Tim Wakefield. Julio Lugo. J.D. Drew. Mark Kotsay. Kevin Cash. Sean Casey. Alex Cora. Mike Lowell. David Aardsma. Bartolo Colon.

Don't be surprised to see several of these names left off the playoff roster. Drew has not made it back for his back injury. Lowell was limping around the bases last night. Lugo is still on the DL. Health is definitely an issue with these 3.

The remainder of the squad will be molded around the first round opponent -- LA Angels or White Sox / Twins. Either Byrd or Wakefield could be the long man out of the pen, but not both. Cora may be in if Lowell is out. Kotsay may be in if Drew is out. And on it goes.

With a doubleheader today Francona will get a good look at everyone & start shaping his thoughts as the season winds down. It will be an interesting choice of 25 players.

Wakefield Huge in Series Opener

Nice pitchin', Wake! I never liked pitching in the rain because the ball always felt like it weighed 5 pounds. I guess a knuckleball is waterproof though based upon last night's results.

With Hurricane Ike beginning to batter the coastal area of Galveston, Texas (God bless to all in its path) the Red Sox had their own Hurricane Wake who beat up on the Toronto lineup for a 7-0 win. He made a hot team, hitting over .300 in September, look pathetic with their swings last night. It was just the performance the Sox needed to start this series.

Jed Lowrie continues to make John Henry & Co. forget the name of Julio Lugo. Lowrie is just another in a long line of minor leaguers coming to the big team & performing at a high level. Jed is closing in on 50 RBI in just half a season & plays great "D" at SS or 3B.

So far my prediction for this series is right on. I thought the Sox would take Game 1. The pitching match-ups on Saturday do not favor the Sox, so I'm hoping for a split. I anticipate Jon Lester outdueling Roy Halladay in the series finale.

Let's see if my crystal ball is accurate.

New Poll Question: Will Sox Catch Rays?

OK Red Sox fans. Let's see who thinks the Sox will catch Tampa Bay for 1st place.

There are 16 games left in the season & 3 are head-to-head in Tampa Bay next week. With rain outs everywhere last night there will be a lot of doubleheaders today.

One thing to note is that the Rays have 18 games left & very few off-days. I think the grind & pressure of the last 2 1/2 weeks will get to them. The Sox have been through all this before.

Go ahead & vote your conscious on the new poll question. I'm interested to see the results.

Friday, September 12, 2008

Weekend Strategy Againsts Jays

Toronto has had Boston's number most of this season. We showed a glimmer of turning it around by winning 2 out of 3 in Toronto on the last visit in August.

The best game of the series should be Sunday when Lester faces Halladay. My money is bet on Lester to get a low-scoring win at home.

The pivotal game for me happens tonight with Wakefield facing off against former NH Fisher Cat David Purcey. If Wakefield stays away from walks & home runs we should win that game as well.

Saturday's doubleheader is a toss-up. The Jays have seen Byrd a lot & will score off him. I don't expect too much from Bartolo Colon. A.J. Burnett & Jessie Litsch have the edge in pitching in these 2 games. A split on Saturday in high-scoring affairs would be OK.

Best case for the Sox is 1 win each day to take the series 3 out of 4. Worst case is a 2-2 split. A win tonight would go a long way to setting the tone for the weekend.

Thursday, September 11, 2008

That Look is Back

Did you see the camera shots of fans around Fenway Park last night? Did it remind you of anything?

I saw men, women & children with that wrinkled forehead, like a major migrane headache was coming on. It was a look that I remember all too well -- the pre-2004 fan look.

Fans saw opportunity after opportunity slip away last night & eventually saw a loss occur. It was reminiscent of the Sox of old, the Sox who never won the big game, the Sox who broke your hearts, your parents' hearts & your grandparents' hearts.

But fear not. We know how to win now as evidenced in 2004 & 2007. This is the 1st series loss in 6-weeks since the Manny trade. All things considered, this has been an excellent season-long performance by the Bosox & we are well positioned to go back to the playoffs.

162 games is a long season. We are coming down the stretch with healthy players & a strong bench. Remember -- we are the defending World Series champs. Been there. Done it. Keep the faith, fans. Keep the faith.

Red Sox Blow Another One

It was a playoff atmosphere this week at Fenway with the 3-game series against the Rays. Every game featured great pitching & runs scoring at a snail's pace. Each game could have gone differently given the number of runners left in scoring position by both teams.

Here's a few of the things that I hope the Sox take away from this series.

1) The Rays are for real.

2) Our best 3 starters can match-up with their best 3 starters.

3) The offense needs to deliver with RISP as we won't get that many opportunities.

4) Don't pitch Papelbon 3 days in a row.

5) Don't pitch Timlin - period.

6) Use Sean Casey as the 1st pinch hitter instead of letting him collect splinters on the pine. Why have him if you're not going to use him? His OBP is over .400.

7) Don't pinch run Coco for Lowell with 2 outs unless you're going to have him steal. We could have used both players later in last night's game. Instead Lowell & Coco are out for the rest of the game in the 6th inning.

8) Don't pitch Timlin - period.

9) Don't pitch Timlin - period.

It doesn't get any easier for the Sox & Rays. The Rays go to New York while the Sox host the red-hot Blue Jays for 4 games in 3 days. I don't like the pitching matchups with Wakefield, Byrd & Colon going in the 1st 3. Best thing is we should miss Halladay since he pitched last night.

This week has been two nights of opportunity lost. I'll take a 2-2 weekend against the Jays which should keep the Sox in a comfortable lead in the AL Wild Card as games wind down.

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Letter to Pap (a/k/a Cinco Ocho)

Dear Pap:

You have a tremendous talent for getting big outs in the 9th.

However, with Major League hitters, you need to throw more than one pitch. Did you listen to the post-game interview with Johnson? He said he put a good swing on your 3-1 pitch, fouled it off & figured he had the timing down on your fastball. He definitely had the timing down on your 3-2 pitch when he knocked it out for a home run in RC.

After Farrell came out to talk to you (which was after you gave up 2 more hits & the lead) you started throwing your slider & split more. You also got the last 2 outs.

Don Orsillo asked Jerry Remy in the booth about your reliance on just the fastball lately. Jerry said he noticed fewer sliders & splits, but brushed it aside. I think Don was right on. No matter how hard you throw, if a hitter knows what's coming, he's going to put a good swing on it.

As a pitcher, you know that some days you have 1, 2 or all 3 pitches working for you. Monday you had an electric fastball & you threw it in unhittable places. Last night your command was off on your fastball & velocity may have been down a little since it was your 3rd appearance in 3 days. You could tell something was off when you got behind hitters in the count.

Go to your other pitches a little more to at least throw the hitter's timing off. It's all about interrupting a hitter's timing. It's all about using what's working that day.

You're a winner, Pap. I know you'll make the adjustment going forward. We all learn by our mistakes.

Tuesday, September 9, 2008

Tom Brady Down & Out

Even though this is a Red Sox blog, I would be remiss if there wasn't a mention about Tom Brady's season-ending injury.

We have been spoiled by season after season of excellence in the 21st century. 3 Patriots Super Bowl wins. 2 Red Sox World Series wins. 1 Celtics NBA Championship. During this stretch Tom Brady has been at the helm of the local team with the most rings. He will be missed.

I remember the Patriots coming out from under the big American flag on the Green Monster after their playoff run. All Boston sports share a common connection to excellence. Tom has been the Curt Schilling for his team with a remarkable run of 135 consecutive starts.

A sports career is fickle when it comes to injuries. Just ask Jim Rice about his broken arm in 1985.

Like all of New England, I wish Tom a quick recovery.

Steve's Comment on Rays Series

My friend Steve is still having trouble getting his comments onto my blog. It could be operator malfunction!

Today he writes:

"They (Red Sox) could take 3 out of 3 if the Dice-man can keep the walks down tonight. Beckett vs. Kazmir will be a tough matchup tomorrow. Problem is Josh will be on a strict low pitch count, and then the middle relief comes into play."

Thanks, Steve.

If you encounter trouble while trying to leave a comment, go to 3nohitters@gmail.com & I will be sure to get them onto this blog for you.

Running Goofs Keep Game Close

Kevin Youkilis gets thrown out going to 2nd in the 1st inning, taking a big run off the board as the next batter, Jason Bay, homers.

Mark Kotsay gets thrown out at 2B trying to advance on a throw to 3rd from the outfield.

Coca Crisp gets picked off & is out by a mile trying to steal second.

These were 3 big outs that kept the Rays in last night's game by keeping the score to 3-0. If Rocco Baldelli launches one over the Green Monster in the 8th with men on 2nd & 3rd, it's a tie game. Good thing Pap was up for the challenge & struck him out instead.

In a close game you need to balance aggressiveness with common sense. The Sox were just a little to aggressive on the bases last night for me. In at least one case, it cost a big insurance run.

I hated running into outs as a coach & still do as a fan. On the plus side, though, it didn't come back to bite the Sox.

Jon + Jonathan = Win

Recipe for beating the Rays:

- Start with Jon Lester throwing 7 2/3 innings of shutout ball.

- Add Jonathan Papelbon to get out of trouble in the 8th & pitch a scoreless 9th.

- Throw in 3 1st-inning runs with contributions from Big Papi, Jason Bay & Coco Crisp.

- Cook for 3 hours & you have a 1/2 game difference for the AL East lead.

This game had all the earmarks of a playoff classic with Boston coming out on top. A win tonight puts the Sox back in 1st, maybe to stay.

Fans get treated to another great pitching matchup tonight with Kazmir vs. Dice-K. Let's see if the Sox keep rolling or the Rays stop their skid. I'm betting on the Sox.

Monday, September 8, 2008

Lester Gets the Ball

Jon Lester gets to start game #1 tonight against the Rays. Could we get anyone better?

Lester has owned the Yankees this year & silenced their big left-handed bats. I expect the same tonight with Pena, Hinske & Co. The Sox are so tough at Fenway & so hot right now that the karma is there at the right time.

Don't expect the Rays to lay down. A sweep by the Rays in Boston (highly unlikely) would give Tampa breathing room & just about assure them a playoff spot.

As a viewer, I hope NESN doesn't show the Crisp-Shields fight a million times over the next 3 days. It may make for good theatre, but it time to give it a rest & move on.

Enjoy these 3 games.

Sunday, September 7, 2008

Sox Gain on Rays Again

It's down to a 1 1/2 game lead for the Rays over the Sox. The Rays had a disaster in Toronto getting swept in all 3 games. By contrast the Sox took 2 out of 3 in Texas.

With the top 3 Sox starters going against Tampa Bay this week there could be a change in the AL leader board by Wednesday night. Tampa is coming in cold & the Red Sox are hitting their stride.

Nice workmanlike effort in a win by the Sox today. HR's by Jason Bay & Big Papi paced the offense. Shutout ball pitched by Paul Byrd against a good hitting line-up.

I predict 2 out of 3 wins against Tampa Bay at Fenway. That would put us just 1/2 game back with 15+ to go.

Sox, Tampa, Twins All Lose

No one gained on anyone yesterday. Sox lost to Texas. Tampa Bay lost to the Blue Jays in 13 innings. Twins lost to the Tigers. It would be nice if Paul Byrd could manufacture a win against the Rangers today to keep a series win on the road going for the Sox.

At worst the Sox will be 3 1/2 back of the Rays when therir 3 game series gets underway at Fenway tomorrow night. With the 1, 2, 3 starters in the form of Lester, Dice-K & Beckett going for the Sox we should expect to take the series.

Keep your eye on the Wild Card. The Yankees won last night in Seattle, so they inch closer to the Twins in the Wild Card race.

September is a great month to be a fan.

Saturday, September 6, 2008

"Comments" Section Under Repair

Dear Blog Readers:

I understand that my "Comments" sections is experiencing technical difficulties. It will soon be repaired. In the meantime, feel free to leave your thoughts at 3nohitters@gmail.com for the time being.

Steve from Manchester, NH left the following comment on the Pedroia post:

With Dustin hitting so well, Ortiz is starting to see more pitches. I love the comment by Ozzie Guillen last week. "It's the first time I ever intentionally walked a jockey."

Thanks, Steve. Keep the comments coming. We're in for a great ride down the stretch in September.

Sox Rolls Behind Beckett & Lowell

Josh Beckett pitches 5 shutout innings. Mike Lowell drives in 4 runs with a 3-5 night at the plate, including a 1st at-bat homer. Tampa Bay loses in Toronto. Can things go any better for the Red Sox?

Now just 2 1/2 games back in the AL East race the Sox have won their last 4 in a row while the Rays have dropped 3 out of 4. The head-to-head series in Boston on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday could see a shift in the AL East leader if things continue on their current track.

I feel for Josh Beckett since I have experience with an arm injury during my pitching days. It is such a relief to get back on the mound & perform well. All the doubts are gone. The amazing thing, as Jerry Remy said, was the accuracy & control of Beckett after not pitching for weeks.

Mike Lowell was smiling like a 20-year old kid after the game. His injuries seems to be in the rear view mirror as well.

The only missing piece of significance remains J.D. Drew. Let's hope his BP goes well today & he makes an on-field appearance soon. We need everyone to make a serious run in the playoffs.

Friday, September 5, 2008

Red Sox Depopulate the DL in Texas

Josh Beckett is back. Mike Lowell is back. Sean Casey is back.

Less players on the DL will certainly help the Red Sox compete this weekend against the high scoring offense of the Texas Rangers. With 3 1/2 games to make-up on the Rays we can use every able-bodied player available.

Beckett, Lowell & Casey leave the DL train that still has players like J.D. Drew, Curt Schilling & Julio Lugo aboard. J. D. seems like the only one of those three who will make it back for the playoffs. Bartolo Colon is nearer to providing insurance as an extra arm, maybe during the Toronto doubleheader next weekend.

2 out of 3 would be nice in Texas. A sweep would be great. One thing we can count on is the Rangers pitching staff serving up several meatballs. Only Texas has a worse ERA in the AL than Baltimore.

Thursday, September 4, 2008

Beckett & Lowell Back

It's been awhile since we've seen the former Florida Marlin pair of Josh Beckett & Mike Lowell on the field. Couldn't come at a better time of the season.

While Red Sox fill-ins such as Alex Cora, Jeff Bailey & Mark Kotsay have done an admirable job in Lowell's absence it will be great to get him back at 3rd so Lowrie & Youk can go back to their normal infield positions. His bat will be a nice addition at the usual #5 spot too. The whole lineup sets up better with Lowell in it.

In Josh Beckett's absence we have seen starts by Michael Bowden & Clay Buchholz mixed in with a number of off-days. Getting your top guy back at this time of year will allow him to build up arm strength with 4 or 5 more starts before the playoffs.

I hope J.D. Drew & Sean Casey are not far behind. We'll need everyone down the stretch.

Yankees and the Wild Card

Any true Boston Red Sox fan knows one fact -- never count out the Yankees until the math proves that they are out.

I was watching NESN this morning & it showed that the Yankees are only 2 games back of the Twins in the Wild Card race. After a 2nd consecutive win in Tampa Bay last night the Yanks move themselves & the Red Sox closer to the top in the AL East standings.

What if the Rays pull a collapse like the Mets did last September? Could you see the Red Sox as the AL East champs & the Yankees as the Wild Card team? Very unlikely for the Yanks to sneak in, but the math does not rule it out yet.

The Rays have one more game tonight against the Yankees. Then they head out for a 9-game road trip which includes 3 in Boston next week. If they lose the AL East lead by the time they leave Boston, the Rays may be fighting to hold onto the Wild Card for the rest of the month.

September will not disappointed fans in Tampa Bay, Boston & New York for excitement down the stretch.

Wednesday, September 3, 2008

Sox Sweep With A Little Luck

The Red Sox are playing hard. They are getting contributions from every player up & down the lineup. And now they are getting some luck to boot. Boston beat Baltimore 5-4 to sweep their 3 game series with game-winning small ball in the 9th.

There are many sayings in baseball. One that I always liked is "the harder you work, the luckier you get." Luck was definitely an element in this afternoon's win as a rookie pitcher for the Orioles made an ill-advised throw to third on a bunt by Jacoby Ellsbury that landed in LF, allowing the game winner in the form of Alex Cora to cross the plate in the 9th.

The Sox played hard to come back from a 4-0 deficit as late as the 7th. Pedroia started things with a big HR in the 7th & a 2-run triple from Mark Kotsay tied the game in the 8th. Earlier, a great catch by Ellsbury in RF saved a HR as well.

The Sox are poised for a great stretch run. No matter whose name is in the lineup everyone works hard & plays hard. Beckett & Lowell, big additions off the DL, will see action this weekend in Texas. We are getting players back at the right time.

Maybe the sun, moon & stars are aligning again for the Red Sox as in 2004 & 2007.

Baltimore Orioles Of Old No Longer

The days of Jim Palmer, Mike Cuellar, Mike Flanagan & others are gone. For a franchise that won pennants & World Series based upon pitching it is really a shame what has happened over the last decade.

Baltimore is trying to stay ahead of the lowly Texas Rangers for worst staff ERA in the AL. Last night's game in Boston's 14-2 win was just the latest debacle in a season where leads are given up night after night to poor, poor pitching performances. 10 plus runs are scored against on a regular basis from a combination of walks, hits, steals & even a few defensive errors.

A camers shot of Dave Tremblay last night said volumes to me. He & his pitching coach were in the dugout expressionless as run after run kept crossing the plate for the Red Sox. I'd scrap the whole staff & bring up all the kids from the minors to see if there is someone who could help for 2009. Indeed, they have made many call-ups.

In a year where Tampa Bay is in first & Toronto is above .500 Baltimore stands alone as the only team who has not improved in the AL East. They are being left far behind & it's sad for a once proud franchise.

Pedroia & Ortiz Continue Hot Streak

Dustin Pedroia continues to make his case for MVP with 5 more RBI from the clean-up spot last night in a 14-2 drubbing of the low flying Orioles. Ortiz hit balls all over the park to add 4 RBI of his own, putting an end to any speculation about his recovery from a wrist injury.


The other amazing stat is that the Red Sox put up 14 runs with a make-shift lineup. No Kevin Youkilis because of back spasms. No Jason Bay because of a planned night off. No Mike Lowell or J.D. Drew because of current stints on the DL. How good will this lineup be if & when they get Lowell & Drew back? With Varitek hitting again it will be a menacing 1 through 9.


A Tampa Bay loss last night tightens up the pennant race. As I mentioned in a previous posting, it's going to be an interesting week.

Tuesday, September 2, 2008

Big Week for Red Sox

If the Sox are going to make a move on Tampa Bay, then this is the week. The Sox play the lowly Orioles & Rangers. Baltimore & Texas, while having good offensive numbers, also have the worst pitching staffs in the AL. The Red Sox hitters are hot & should score plenty of runs all week long.

The Rays start a series with New York tonight in Tampa Bay. Next Monday they come to Fenway Park for 3 pivotal games againt the Sox. If Boston can pick-up a few games to get within 3 of the Rays, it will make the series next week a memorable one.

Everyone says that the Rays haven't faltered yet. We could say the same about the Red Sox who have kept the pressure on Tampa Bay to keep winning. Both teams are 7-3 in their last 10 games.

Let's see who blinks first...

Byrd Gives Up 4 & Wins; Wake Loses

It's not easy being a pitcher. One day you give up 4 runs & lose. The next day you give up 4 runs & win.

Tim Wakefield pitched good enough to beat the White Sox on Sunday, but lost 4-2. Paul Byrd kept giving the lead back to the Orioles on Monday night, but ends up winning 7-4. The old addage is that everything evens out over the course of a 162 game season.

There are all kinds of measures to evaluate pitchers. You have hits per inning, ERA, walks per inning, pitches per start, ERA with runners in scoring position, home runs, etc. Number of wins, however, is dictated by the offense & the opposing pitcher more times than not.

Byrd pitched well enough to win which is all you can ask from a #5 starter. I hope Wakefield catches more run support from the offense the next few times he pitches. His won-lost record is not a true measure of his contribution this year.

Monday, September 1, 2008

Where Does Coco Crisp Fit?

With the addition of Mark Kotsay & the anticipated return of J.D. Drew is Coco Crisp the odd man out?

I like Coco for his defense & his speed. The question becomes: Can Tito find enough playing time that utilizes these attributes?

Ellsbury is catching everything in sight in the outfield. Kotsay has a much more productive bat. Since both Ellsbury & Kotsay are left-handed hitters Coco can spell one of them when a left-hander is throwing against the Sox.

I still think Coco knows CF at Fenway better than Jacoby. He has played more games there & definitely knows the triangle. The difference between he & Ellsbury, though, has shrunk as Ells plays more games in CF.

Coco has the ability to go out there on a daily basis & hustle all over the field -- run down a fly ball, steal a base, bunt. Problem is that his offense has been minimal this season which will limit his future playing time.

I hope the Sox keep Coco for the remainder of the season. There just may be a Dave Roberts situation that could turn a game around.